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The Volatility Smile & Skew

Implied vol varies by strike because the market prices crashes — 1987 created the skew, and fat tails created the smile.

Volatility Surfaces

Before October 1987, desks quoted options through Black–Scholes with volatility roughly flat across strikes. The crash changed the picture overnight: out-of-the-money puts began trading at much higher implied volatilities than at-the-money options, producing the downward equity skew, while currency options kept a more symmetric smile around the forward. Read economically, the skew is the price of crash insurance and the smile is compensation for fat-tailed moves in either direction. Both falsify the lognormal backbone that constant-volatility models assume. Every model later in this track — local, stochastic, SABR — exists to reproduce this stubborn empirical fact.

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